2014年4月19日星期六

Ukrainian Quartet to retreat situation test the parties' sense of propriety.

local time on April 17, Geneva, Switzerland, Ukraine, the Quartet meeting duly convened. The participants are the United States Secretary of State Christopher, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, Foreign Minister AndriiDeshchytsia Ukraine and the EU High Representative Catherine Ashton.

local time on April 17, Geneva, Switzerland, Ukraine, the Quartet meeting duly convened. The participants are the United States Secretary of State Christopher, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, Foreign Minister AndriiDeshchytsia Ukraine and the EU High Representative Catherine Ashton. Cheap Oilers Jerseys

China news agency, Beijing, April 18 - Question: Ukraine Quartet "to retreat" situation to test the parties "measured"

author Jie Liu Xu Wenlong

Russia, Ukraine, the United States and the European Union Quartet held on 17 May in Geneva, Switzerland Ukraine Quartet talks, the participants agreed to take practical steps Quartet ease the tense situation in Ukraine increasingly complex. UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon day, the parties also welcomed the statement as made to ease the situation in Ukraine "Preliminary diplomacy."

before the Quartet talks, analysts generally believe that the talks difficult to have substantive results. One reason is that the former does not have a mature program of talks for the parties to bargain, on the other hand, the actual demands of the Quartet is not entirely consistent with the participants, but also have their concerns, fears of the media and even the United States, Europe, Ukraine, "three to one." to deal with the situation in Russia.

Cheap Women NHL Jerseys However, in the case of the eastern part of the deteriorating situation in Ukraine, the Quartet are willing to sit down and discuss some of the problems can explain itself: the situation in Russia and the U.S. as the main game player, playing despite fierce war of words, but are careful to further intensification of the crisis may bring to weigh the pros and cons.

analysts believe that with the adjustment of the U.S. strategic center of gravity, with Moscow on the Ukrainian question "tip-to-head", a comprehensive intensification of contradictions Moscow does not comply with long-term plans in Washington. From this perspective, the crisis continues to worsen Ukraine is not conducive to U.S. strategic planning. In addition, after the Crimean crisis the West aware of the "post-Soviet space" and Russia's determination to defend its means. In summary, both from a strategic or tactical level, the United States are reluctant to issue long-term entanglement in the Ukraine.

EU policy in Ukraine is more subtle. On the one hand Russia announced increased sanctions against officers, on the other hand trying to crack the EU energy dependence on Russia. But the EU can not find new sources of energy supply side in the short term, can not afford to further intensify the negative impact of the crisis in Ukraine may bring.

from Russia, despite Russia's domestic anti-Western sentiment has been mobilized society, but it also does not want a further escalation of the crisis, to make ourselves into all-out confrontation with the West. According to Russian data on April 16, the first quarter of this year, Russia's economic growth rate was only 0.8%, while the previously expected 2.5%, foreign investment in Russia fell by Cheap Blackhawks Jerseys 4.8% in the first quarter. In fact, the U.S. and European sanctions have not yet commenced all aspects, such as the WTO and the World Bank has not been utilized for a class of international mechanisms. The World Bank estimates that if unrest continues in Ukraine, Cheap Leafs Jerseys Russia and the Western countries to implement more sanctions, Russia's economy may shrink this year, nearly 2%.

this, although participants Quartet own aspirations and concerns, but the situation continues to deteriorate benefits no one, alone this little "consensus" reached Quartet interests of consistency from the actual proposal is not "unexpected move." . But Ban also stressed in a statement on the 17th of the current situation in Ukraine, especially in the eastern part of the case is far from clear, consensus can really implement remains to be seen, the current situation "is still very unstable."

with a view of the tense situation in eastern Ukraine, the Crimean crisis is magnified, but in fact there are two different situations. Eastern regions of Ukraine's national body, clear ownership of, there is no history of controversy. Data show that, GDP Metalurh Donetsk, Luhansk and Kharkiv Ukraine three regions accounted for 1/3 to 1/2, the population accounts for about half of the country's total population. If we say that Crimea Ukrainian independence as a broken wrist, and that may make the crisis in eastern Ukraine into a split, and even collapse.

Thus, on the one hand, Ukraine interim government reacted strongly against the pro-Russian eastern taken live ammunition armed "counter-terrorism operations," while the United States and the European Union want to put pressure on Russia to further increase the intensity of the Russian sanctions.

the other hand, Russia and Ukraine are more cautious than previously. Ukraine's interim prime minister Jacek nyuk on April 11, said that no one would harm the rights of Russian-speaking residents to use their mother tongue, which is seen as a correction to the previous policy of aggressive nationalism. In addition, he also said it would actively develop trade with Russia. These two commitments are aimed at pro-Russian people 安抚东 department.

Russia has repeatedly said the activities of pro-Russian militants had nothing to do, deny the Ukrainian border troops, and on many occasions said that from the President, the Prime Minister to the Minister, "the use of force is very dangerous." American strategists cloth hot Analysis Jin Siji earlier, has already made it clear that Russia's concerns: "Russia is the ability to inspire hatred of Ukraine introduced to a cause chaos of civil war but if so, Cheap Wild Jerseys it will make the most of Ukraine. people become eternal enemies of Russia. "Obviously, Russia is one of the most desired concentric with the Russian Slavic brothers, not enemies of Russia and Russian neighbors hate danger.

Despite the consensus reached by the four-party talks to resolve the crisis in Ukraine "glimmer of hope", but in view of the differences between the parties and the coexistence of state-dependent short term is difficult to eliminate, issues related to the Ukrainian beauty 俄乌欧 Quartet talks or mechanisms and normalization of "Russian-American confrontation," "economic isolation", "energy shortage" is still likely to be the next phase of keywords. How prospects, but also the game of the parties' sense of proportion. " (End)

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